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I have a problem that I can't figure out. Define $$\Gamma\left(x\right):=\frac{\phi(x)}{1-\Phi(x)}$$ where $\phi(x)$, $\Phi(x)$ are the density respectively cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution. Hence $\Gamma(x)$ is the hazard function of the normal distribution. Define $$\delta\left(x\right):=\Gamma\left(x\right)\left(\Gamma\left(x\right)-x\right)$$

Is $\delta\left(x\right)$ increasing in $x$, i.e. $\frac{\partial \delta (x)}{\partial x}>0$?

I know $\Gamma(x)$ is monotonously increasing in $x$, but I can't manage to show the same for $\delta(x)$. I have already plottet the function and indeed it is increasing. Does anybody know a reference for this result, or the actual solution to the problem?

Thanks a lot!

Jimmy R.
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  • Have you calculated the derivative of $\delta$ yet? Expressing it in terms of $\phi$ and $\Phi$ sounds like a reasonable thing to try. – Joonas Ilmavirta Nov 25 '14 at 13:50
  • Thanks for the comment. Yes, I have tried that. What I get is $ \delta'\left(x\right)=-3x\left(\frac{\phi(x)}{1-\Phi(x)}\right)^{2}+2\left( \frac{\phi(x)}{ 1-\Phi(x)}\right)^{3}-\frac{\phi(x)}{1-\Phi(x)}=-3x \Gamma\left(x\right)^{2}+2 \Gamma \left(x\right)^{3}- \Gamma \left(x \right) $. Not sure, how to continue from here. – StudentMath Nov 25 '14 at 15:06
  • Did you look at it numerically; your result seems to hold. – Math-fun Nov 26 '14 at 14:40
  • Can you check the derivative? I find the same except that I have $...-Γ(x)(1-x^2)$ – Jimmy R. Nov 26 '14 at 14:41

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The function $\delta$ is the derivative of $\Gamma$, so the question amounts to whether the hazard $\Gamma$ is convex. This is in fact the case. I have proved this in an answer to another question here: Standard normal distribution hazard rate