As been mentioned here
a number of times,
a result of Ramanujan
(isn't everything?)
states that
$e^{-p}\sum_{i=0}^{p} \dfrac{ p^{i}}{i!}
\approx \frac12
$
for large $p$.
More precisely,
$\frac12 e^n
=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1} \frac{n^k}{k!}+t(n)\frac{n^n}{n!}
$
where
$t(n)
\approx \frac13 +O(1/n)
$.
Since
$\frac{n^n}{n!}
\approx \frac{n^n}{\sqrt{2\pi n}n^n/e^n}
\approx \frac{e^n}{\sqrt{2\pi n}}
$,
$\begin{array}\\
\sum_{k=1}^{n} \frac{n^k}{k!}
&=-1+\sum_{k=0}^{n-1} \frac{n^k}{k!}+\frac{n^n}{n!}\\
&\approx -1+\frac12 e^n-t(n)\frac{n^n}{n!}+\frac{n^n}{n!}\\
&\approx -1+\frac12 e^n+(1-t(n))\frac{n^n}{n!}\\
&\approx -1+\frac12 e^n+\frac23\frac{e^n}{\sqrt{2\pi n}}\\
\text{so that}\\
e^{-n}\sum_{k=1}^{n} \frac{n^k}{k!}
&\approx -e^{-n}+\frac12+\frac23\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi n}}\\
&\approx \frac12+\frac23\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi n}}\\
\end{array}
$
So you want
$x
\approx \frac1{\frac12+O(1/\sqrt{p})}
= \frac{2}{1+O(1/\sqrt{p})}
\approx 2+O(1/\sqrt{p})
$.
The problem here is that I don't know how to proceed. I am not looking for an answer to this specific problem, I am looking more for any tips or help as to how we proceed with such questions.
– Nikos Koukos Nov 29 '15 at 21:45