I am not sure whether this is the correct forum. Anyway, here goes...
The game "Des chiffres et des lettres" is the most long living television game in French history; in its current form, it dates back as far as 1972.
There are two separate "minigames":
- the longest word: given some random tiles drawn from either vowels or consonants, try and arrange those tiles to form a legal word (for some definition of "legal"; in France, that is a word defined in either of the two main reference dictionaires, Larousse and the Petit Robert);
- the right count, which interests us here.
Rules of the right count:
- you have 24 tiles: { 1..10 } x 2 (therefore 1, 1, 2, 2, etc), plus { 25, 50, 75, 100 };
- you draw, randomly, 6 tiles from those 24;
- you draw, randomly, a number between 100 and 999, included;
- you may use any one tile zero or one time;
- you may use the four basic operations that are addition, substraction, multiplication and division as long as an operation applied to any two numbers yields a strictly positive, integral number (so, for instance, 5 / 2 is not legal, nor is 2 - 3);
- you may reuse the results of your intermediary operations, only once.
For instance, given:
7 1 2 3 6 8 | 199
a solution is:
- 3 + 1 = 4;
- 4 * 6 = 24;
- 24 * 8 = 192;
- 192 + 7 = 199.
One page, which I stumbled upon and unfortunately cannot find the link back right now, claimed that any such random draw has a 94% chance of success. Unfortunately, in additon to having lost the link to the page making this statement, my knowledge of math is too poor to prove or disprove such a claim.
Is there a method to compute such a proof or disproof at the very least?