A math exercise of sorts, not work, not school, just some idea I have rolling in my head that I'm trying to get a concrete answer for.
A revolutionary item was introduced in 1990, first of its kind. There were 111 similar/copycat items produced until 2011 when the next revolutionary item in its class was introduced. That would be 5.3 items/year for 21 year between 1990 and 2011.
Others further caught on and even more copycats came onto the scene so between the years 2011 and 2022, 24.5 items per years were produced. BUT the next revolutionary item has yet to come.
Based on these numbers, can you predict what year the next revolutionary item was/is supposed to be introduced in terms of year?
Currently, I only have a simple arithmetic of:
- 24.5/5.3=3.7 as the rate increase
- 21 years between the first two so 21/3.7=4.5 years
- 2022+4.5=2026 as the next year the revolutionary item would be produced.
BUT, if I were to calculate for say, 2014, it would be (assuming same 24.5 rate):
- same: 24.5/5.3=3.7 as the rate increase
- same: 21 years between the first two so 21/3.7=4.5 years
- 2014+4.5=2018, which just doesn't seem right.
What am I missing here? Is it possible to figure this out with the data points provided? Just driving me nuts trying to do the maths on this.. thanks in advance.
