0

Let $B(x)$ be a Brownian motion. We know by definition that $B(x+1) - B(x)$ ~ $N(0,1)$. I am trying to understand if that means that $B(x+1)-B(x) = PDF(x)$, where PDF(x) is the probability density function of $N(0,1)$ at the point $x$.

Can you tell me if its right? and if it isnt, what is the actual meaning of $B(x+1)-B(x)$ ~ $N(0,1)$?

Kevinlove
  • 171

2 Answers2

1

I'm not sure where the confusion is raising, but I'll try.

If we define

$$ \Delta_{x} := B(x+1) - B(x) $$

we see that this variable is normally distributed. What is this? It is the increment. This means that if at step $x$ we are at $B(x)$ we can find where we will be at $x+1$ using

$$ B(x+1) = \Delta_x + B(x) $$

but $\Delta_x$ is a random variable! This means that we can have certain probabilities of being somewhere in the next step.

For simplicity, let's image that at $x=0$ we start from $B(0)=0$. It means that

$$ B(1) = \Delta_0 $$

which is a normally distributed random variable! The gaussian probability tells you that the probability density function of $B(1)$ is gaussian. So, in this case, you will have a high probability of being around $0$ at the next step and a lower probability of being far from it.

I've used your notation here, but I suggest using $t$ instead of $x$ as it is more intuitive to understand that it is the time.

Ouden
  • 331
0

$B(x+1)-B(x)$ is a random variable which follows a standard normal distribution, that is, for each Borel set $A$ of the real line, $$ \mathbb P(B(x+1)-B(x)\in A)=\frac 1{\sqrt{2\pi}}\int_A\exp\left(-t^2/2\right)dt. $$

Davide Giraudo
  • 172,925
  • Thank you for your comment. How can i use this definition to find B(x+1)-B(x) in a specific point x? because the integral is not defined on a single point. – Kevinlove Dec 20 '23 at 17:42
  • What do you mean by "find $B(x+1)-B(x)$"? x – Davide Giraudo Dec 20 '23 at 18:21
  • I mean that if i need to find x (if exists) such that B(x+1)-B(x) > 3 for example, i thought about using the connection to normal distribution to say that B(x+1)-B(x)~N(0,1), but i dont know how to move forward from here... how the relation to N(0,1) helps me find if there exists x such B(x+1)-B(x) > 3 – Kevinlove Dec 20 '23 at 19:09