Questions tagged [expected-value]

Questions about the expected value of a random variable.

The average value of a randomly chosen quantity is its expectation or expected value. For example, the expected value of the number you get when you roll a fair 6-sided dice is 3.5.

In general, if $X$ is a random variable defined on a probability $(\Omega, \Sigma, P)$, then the expected value of $X$, denoted by $E[X], \langle X \rangle,$ or $\bar{X}$ is defined as the Lebegue integral

$$E[X]= \int_{\Omega} X(\omega) dP(\omega)$$

The expected value is often the first and most important thing you want to know about a random variable. For example, in a betting game, the best strategy is often the one that maximizes the expected value of the amount you win.

This tag is for questions about:

  • Computing the expected value in a specific situation.
  • Understanding the properties of expected values, such as Markov's inequality or linearity of expectation.
  • Proving theorems about the expected value of abstract random variables.
  • Understanding what the expected value means and what it tells you about a random variable.
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Expected value of high fives on a chessboard

64 people are standing on an 8x8 chessboard, facing randomly chosen neighbours. If two people are facing each other, they will give each other a high five. On average, how many high fives can we expect to see? Source: puzzledquant.com My approach:…
Charlie
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Expectation over pdf of sum vs. Expectation of sum

Let $U=X+Y$, where $X, Y$ are not guaranteed to be independent. It seems trivial that $$E[U] = E[X+Y].$$ However, taking a closer look, $$ E[U] = E_U[U] = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} u f_U(u) du $$ $$ E[X+Y] = E_{X, Y}[X+Y] =…
JJ.
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Calculating Expected Value for Repeated Earnings

I'm reading conflicting answers about expected value over multiple rounds. I read this question Two different books are giving two different solutions. , and it had this question Every day a trader either makes 50% with probability 0.6 or loses…
Marko
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Expected number of Plays of a game U(0,1)

We are playing a game. I will generate a random number from Uniform(0,1), then you will guess whether or not the next number will be higher or lower than the current number. Every time you guess correctly you get a point. The game ends when you…
Bepop
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Expected Value of Card Game Where You Can Take Another Card

Here is an interesting brainteaser I came across that I have not been able to solve: You are playing a game in which you and an opponent select cards (without replacement) from a 100-card deck, which are numbered 1-100. You each flip over a card…
Bepop
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Example of where expectation of product of r.v's does not split as product of individual expectations

Can someone give an example of two r.v's $X,Y$ such that $E(XY)\neq E(X)E(Y)$? I know that this means $Cov(X,Y)\neq 0$, so I've been trying r.v's where we have $Y=aX+b$ for some constants $a,b$, but I keep getting $E(XY)=E(X)E(Y)$ for these…
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Condtional expected value formula that satify the general case when there is no condtion

Let (X) be a random variable, and let (B) be an event. Let $X_B$ be the set of values of (X) that correspond to the event (B), and let (n(B)) be the count of events where the event (B) is satisfied. The conditional expected value formula using the…
Cav
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Whats the expected value of the maximum of independent, discrete variables?

I have some indipendent, discrete variables $X_1$ through $X_n$, which don't necessarily share the same (known) probability distributions or possible values. What is the expected value of $\max\left\{X_1, X_2,\dots, X_n\right\}$? This question is…
RubenVerg
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What is the expectation of $x^m\exp(kx)$ for skewed normal variable distributed with parameters $\xi,\omega,\alpha$?

Is there an analytical solution for $\operatorname{E}[x^m\exp(kx)]$ when $k,m$ are positive integers and $x$ has skew normal distribution with parameters $\xi,\omega,\alpha$? Wiki says that $\operatorname{E}[x]=\xi +…
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How to compute this utility function's expected value.

image here This is a question of financial economics. There are N stocks, The utility function U is the function of $W_1$ and X, $U(\tilde W_{1i},X_i)$, $W_0$ is the investor's wealth at moment $0$, and $W_1$ is the wealth at moment $1$, $r_f$ is…
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What's the expected value of the sum of 2 numbers chosen from the set of natural numbers?

Expected value is the probability of the value times the value summed over all the values. In my question, there are 2 numbers that I'll say are X and Y. The expected value of the sum is: p(X)*X + p(Y)*Y. But I don't know what to use for p(X). I…
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How to solve expectation by using the law of iterated expectations?

For the joint distribution $p(x_1,x_2)$ with $X_1\sim Bern(0.5)$, $(X_2|X_1=0)\sim Bern(0.1)$ and $(X_2|X_1=1)\sim Bern(0.8)$, compute the average $E(X1,X2)\sim p(x_1,x_2)[X_1X_2]$ by both using and not using the law of iterated expectations. a) For…
TM1
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Expected Value and mean of random variable

If random variable a and random variable b and they have the same distribution and are independent, is it true that E[˜a˜b] =E [˜a]^2?
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Expected Value of Group

I am looking at part b) of this problem: Problem Solution with Annotated Question I don't understand how to get from the underlined part to the end of the arrow? What's the logic or reasoning here? Is it that the max number of tests for the…
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population of bacteria

The population of bacteria changes every minute by 5% up or down with equal likelihood. What is expected bacteria size after 50 min? My approach: I figured out that it can't be 0, since the amount of increase/decrease is not same, it is…
Charlie
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