Questions tagged [expected-value]

Questions about the expected value of a random variable.

The average value of a randomly chosen quantity is its expectation or expected value. For example, the expected value of the number you get when you roll a fair 6-sided dice is 3.5.

In general, if $X$ is a random variable defined on a probability $(\Omega, \Sigma, P)$, then the expected value of $X$, denoted by $E[X], \langle X \rangle,$ or $\bar{X}$ is defined as the Lebegue integral

$$E[X]= \int_{\Omega} X(\omega) dP(\omega)$$

The expected value is often the first and most important thing you want to know about a random variable. For example, in a betting game, the best strategy is often the one that maximizes the expected value of the amount you win.

This tag is for questions about:

  • Computing the expected value in a specific situation.
  • Understanding the properties of expected values, such as Markov's inequality or linearity of expectation.
  • Proving theorems about the expected value of abstract random variables.
  • Understanding what the expected value means and what it tells you about a random variable.
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Let $\ X_1,X_2,X_3$ be an independent continuous random variables

Let $\ X_1,X_2,X_3$ be an independent continuous random variables that are uniformly distributed on $\ [0, n]$. Let $\ M = M=max⁡{(X_1,X_2,X_3)}$ $\ P(M≤X)=?$ for general $\ X∈[0,n]$ $\ E[M]=?$ I Know that $\ P(X≤t)=F(t)=(t-a)/b=t/n$ $\…
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Calculate Expected value using conditioning

How to calculate E[X] using conditioning. Let a random variable Y = X^2, While X is a random variable that can take the following values {-2,-1,0,1,2}. Each value can occur with equal probability i.e., 1/5.
Xzcess
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Expected number of cards to pick up

Suppose you have a well-shuffled pile of cards: the King of Clubs, Queen of Clubs, Jack of Clubs, and 10 of Clubs. You start picking cards from the top until both the King and Queen are picked up. What is the expected number of cards you have to…
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Why we don't need to cover all possibilities in calculating expected value

We choose 10 cards at random from a standard deck of 52 cards. Find EV of the number of aces. If we pick a card and then replace it back EV is 10*1/13. Why the EV is also 10*1/13 when we get an ace and don't put it back , why don't we need to…
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Expected number of heads

You flip $n$ coins and your goal is to maximize the number of heads. Your expected value is $\frac{n}{2}$. Now what if you're allowed to pick a coin and re-flip it, what does your expected value become? I have 2 different formulas, both seem logical…
Mkch
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Expected value of multiple choice exercise

I hope this question is not too off-topic but I am wondering why the multiple choice exercise (just "Yes" or "No" answers) in our exam is graded as follows: Every correct answer gives $3$ points, every wrong answers gives $0$ points and if you…
Philipp
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Expected value of a inner product of vectors

One has a vector of random variables $$x=[{x_1,x_2}]$$ that each is i.i.d as $$N(0,2)$$ So, $$Var[x_i]=E[x_i^2]-E[x_i]^2=>E[x_i^2]=2$$for $i=1,2.$Need to find the distribution of…
Don
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what is the expectation value of a subset of random variables?

suppose $x_1, x_2, ..., x_{100}$ are identical but correlated random variables. I want to know if there is any relationship between $\langle |x_1+x_2+...+x_{100}|\rangle$ and $\langle |x_{25}+x_{26}+...+x_{75}|\rangle$? (are they same?!). where…
mehrd97d
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A query regarding $E(\frac{X}{Y})$

Given that $X$ and $Y$ are independent random variables and $Y>0$ and $E(X)=0$. We wish to compute $E(\frac{X}{Y})$. The intended method Since $X$ and $Y$ are independent, it is obvious that $X$ and $\frac{1}{Y}$ are independent also. Thus…
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Finding expected number of games played by player 1.

There are 4 players in the game. First player 1 plays with player 2, with loser exiting the game. Next winner of previous game plays with player 3, with loser exiting. Further, winner of previous game plays with player 4, and the winner of this game…
user449525
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How is it correct to use the linearity of expected value?

I have this statement: Justify if it is correct or not, perform the following transformation: Let $X$ a random var, thus: $P = E(X) - X + 1$ $P = E(1 * X) - X + 1$ $P = X[E(1)] - X + 1$ With the property, $E(c) = c$, then: $P = X*1 - X +1, => X - X…
ESCM
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Expected Value: What exactly did I do?

Schwin has a large jar containing some M&Ms, each with the letter "m" stamped on it. He removes 1000 candies from the jar, and removes the letter "m" from each one. He then returns all of the M&Ms to the jar. After thoroughly mixing up the candies…
Max0815
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What should be a minimal stake for Casino to secure the profit?

Let's assume Casino has a game, where the expected value of an outcome is 60% for Casino. The casino has 1000 units of money in reserve for this game. Stakes are always 500 units of money. Now John comes and wins twice in a row. In this case, the…
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Expected value for random k-element subset

Let $m\ge1$, $n\ge1$, and $k\ge1$ be integers with $k\le m + n$. Consider a set $P$ consisting of $m$ men and $n$ women. We choose a uniformly random $k$-element subset $Q$ of $P$. Consider the random variables $X$ = the number of men in the chosen…
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Probability - Domain of Expectation

What is the domain of the expectation function for one deck (of 52 cards) with 10 independent variables for a blackjack game? It's written in a paper that the domain of expectation of this problem is 33 million. But I just can't get why? Isn't the…
Tesa
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