Questions tagged [expected-value]

Questions about the expected value of a random variable.

The average value of a randomly chosen quantity is its expectation or expected value. For example, the expected value of the number you get when you roll a fair 6-sided dice is 3.5.

In general, if $X$ is a random variable defined on a probability $(\Omega, \Sigma, P)$, then the expected value of $X$, denoted by $E[X], \langle X \rangle,$ or $\bar{X}$ is defined as the Lebegue integral

$$E[X]= \int_{\Omega} X(\omega) dP(\omega)$$

The expected value is often the first and most important thing you want to know about a random variable. For example, in a betting game, the best strategy is often the one that maximizes the expected value of the amount you win.

This tag is for questions about:

  • Computing the expected value in a specific situation.
  • Understanding the properties of expected values, such as Markov's inequality or linearity of expectation.
  • Proving theorems about the expected value of abstract random variables.
  • Understanding what the expected value means and what it tells you about a random variable.
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Need help finding $E(X^2)$ for geometric distribution?

Michael plays a random song on his iPod. He has $2,781$ songs, but only one favorite song. Let X be the number of songs he has to play on shuffle (songs can be played more than once) in order to hear his favorite song. a) find $E(X)$ b) find…
user865043
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What is the expected value of sequence $\{0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, ...\}$ or $\{1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, ...\}?$

I guess it is $\frac12$ as $P(0) = P(1) = 0.5$. While I was told it is $\frac13$. How to solve this type of problem? Thank you. Edit by advices: $f(n) = \left\{\begin{aligned}{0, \text{n is odd natural number}\\1, \text{n is even natural number or…
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Expectation of two cards

I have a question and I will be happy for help. there is a normal deck of cards (ace = 1...king=13, 52 cards, 4 cards for each value) someone takes out without return two cards. what is the expectation of the sum of the cards? I tried to seperate it…
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expectation of functions of random variable

in genreral can we claim that, for random variable' lets say discrete, X E[f(X)]=E[g(X)] means f(x)=g(x) ? (for all x such that p(X=x) is not zero)
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Expectation of the Max of iid Bernoulli distributions

Hey I am trying to calculate, \begin{align*} \textbf{E}\left[\max(X_1,X_2,X_3)\right] \end{align*} Where $X_i$ ase iid Bernoulli distributions with probability $p$. I really just do not know how to approach calculating this. I feel like it should be…
Tsangares
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Australian Maths Competition: An Expected-Value Problem

A friend and I play a game. We each start with two coins. We take it in turns to toss a coin; if it comes down heads, we keep it, if tails, we give it to the other. I always go first, and the game ends when one of us wins by having all four…
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n points sampled uniformly from $[-1,1]^2$, how many lie within the unit circle?

I was looking at the expected output of an algorithm and translated it into this equivalent problem: Consider $n$ points sampled uniformly from $[-1,1]^2$ and let $A=\frac{4Z}{n}$ where $Z$ is how many of these $n$ points lie within the interior…
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What does it mean if $\mathbb{E}[X^2] = \mathbb{E}[X]^2$?

I was wondering if there was any significance to assuming $\mathbb{E}[X^2] = \mathbb{E}[X]^2$? If X is normally distributed, this would correpsonding to it having zero variance (which I guess makes it a dirac delta function, or something…
user112495
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Why is the expectation of $Y=X^2$ more than $\textbf{E}[X^2]$?

Given $X$ is an RV with pdf $f(x)=2x$ where $0
Tsangares
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Constructive Expectation Problem

Problem: Henry flips 10 coins and lays them on the desk. He then chooses one of the coins at random, and if it is tails, he flips it to heads. What is the expected number of heads showing? (source: Mandelbrot) My solution: We can calculate the…
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Two Jokers problem

Two jokers are added to a $52$ card deck and the entire stack of $54$ cards is shuffled randomly. What is the expected number of cards that will be strictly between the two jokers? This is an HMMT problem that I found online and wasn't sure how to…
Noah D.
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$\begin{vmatrix}~E\Big[\sum \limits_{i=1}^{n}X_i\Big]~\end{vmatrix} \le \sum \limits_{i=1}^{n}\begin{vmatrix}E[X_i]\end{vmatrix}$

What's the name of this inequality: $$\begin{vmatrix}\sum \limits_{i=1}^{n}X_i\end{vmatrix} \le \sum \limits_{i=1}^{n}\begin{vmatrix}X_i\end{vmatrix}$$ $$\begin{vmatrix}~E\Big[\sum \limits_{i=1}^{n}X_i\Big]~\end{vmatrix} \le \sum…
pico
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Applying Wald's equality to $\sum_{i=1}^N E[X_i^2]$ where $N$ is a random variable

To solve $\sum_{i=1}^N E[X_i^2]$ , where $N$ is a random variable, and $X_i$'s are IID, we could apply Wald's equality, which is: $$ E[Z_N] = E[X_1]E[N] = \cdots = E[X_N]E[N] $$ where $Z_N = X_1 + \cdots + X_N$ So applying this, we can…
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Expected number of true positives

A hospital identifies patients with an average false positive rate of 0.01. If it checks 31333 patients and returns a total of 357 positive results, then what's the expected number of true positives? I thought it would just be 357 - 0.01 * 357 =…
user777452
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Maximizing raffle EV

Given a raffle where tickets cost A, B tickets are already in the barrel, and C winners are chosen (you can only win once) for a D prize, is there an equation for A, B, C, D that tells you how many tickets to buy to maximize your EV?