Questions tagged [stochastic-processes]

For questions about stochastic processes, for example random walks and Brownian motion.

A stochastic process is a collection of random variables representing the evolution of a system of random variables over time. A typical example is a .

A stochastic, or random, process describes the correlation or evolution of random events. It is used to model stock market fluctuations and electronic/audio-visual/biological signals. Among the most well-known stochastic processes are random walks and Brownian motion.

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Limiting property of a sequence of stochastic processes - How to interpret it?

What is the interpretation of $$ \lim_{a \to \infty} \sup_n P \Big( \sup_t |X_t^n| \geq a \Big) = 0$$ where $\{X^n_t\}_n$ is a sequence of stochastic processes? Could we say that the paths $X^n$ almost never "explode"?
harisf
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state space model

i would like to understand basic idea of state space model,generally definition of state space model says that State space model (SSM) refers to a class of probabilistic graphical model (Koller and Friedman, 2009) that describes the…
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Sum of two autocovariances

I need to prove, that sum of two autocovariance functions is an autocovariance function. I take two random processes $X,Y$ for which $X_1(t),X_2(t)$ random variables are independent. Their autocovariance functions are respectfully $\Gamma_1$ and…
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Example 1.4 Karatzas & Shreve

This example shows that two processes $X,Y$ can be a modification of one another, but they don't necessarily need to be indistinguishable. Let $T$ be a continuous random variable with continuous distribution. Let $X_t\equiv 0$ and $Y_t =…
user311475
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Notation around processes: Is Yt the process or a single observation?

I have troubles interpreting this paragraph in an introduction to Stationarity: A time series {Yt} is said to be stationary if for every integer m, the set of variables Yt1, Yt2, ..., Ytm depends only on the distance between the times t1, t2, ...,…
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Autocovariance of moving average process

Let $\epsilon_t\text{ ~ i.i.d.}(0,1)$, and $X_t=\epsilon_{t}+0.5\epsilon_{t-1}$. I need to find its autocovariance function. I know that $E(X_t)=0$, $E(\epsilon_{t})=0$. Let's say, that…
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Understanding theorem involving a supermartingale being $0$ a.s. on $[T, \infty[$.

I'm having some trouble understanding the following theorem: How do you interpret the sentence after the "then", involving the a.s. property for $X_s$ when $s \in [T,\infty[$? I interpret it as $P(X_s=0 \ \forall_{S \in [T,\infty[})=1$. However,…
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Find process correlation function

I have following task: There are two normal centered random processes $X(t)$ and $Y(t)$ given. They have correlation functions $K_{x}(t_{1}, t_{2}), K_{y}(t_{1}, t_{2})$ and cross-correlation function $R_{xy}(t_{1}, t_{2})$. Get correlation function…
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What are the units of the variance/rate parameter in a 1D continuous Brownian diffusion process?

In a 1-dimensional continuous Brownian diffusion process following the SDE: $$ dx(t) = \sigma dW(t) $$ where $W(t)$ represents the Wiener process, what are the units of $\sigma$? Given that the probability density of, say, $x(s) = 0$ at time $s>0$,…
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Stochastic Process problem

I recently started learning about stochastic processes and i found a problem in order to familiarize myself somehow better. Since this is something new for me, the thing is i don't even know how to approach such a problem. Suppose you have 2…
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Does there exist a smooth stochastic process with nonzero quadratic variation?

Pick a sequence $b_i\in C^\infty_c(\Bbb R)$ and define $S_t=\sum_{i=1}^N X_ib_i(t)$ where $N$ is a discrete r.v. and the $X_i$'s are i.i.d. standard normals. It is clear that $S_t$ is a.s. smooth regardless of the distribution of $N$. However, when…
GuPe
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Stochastic Process | Doubt with an example

I'm was reading an pdf about introduction to stochastic processes and the example say: A coin it's tossed a few times. By each head the player win $1$ unit and by each tail the player loss $1$ unit. So then in the example we have $n=6$ and $\omega =…
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Probability further tests does not provide different results

Could you please suggest me a distribution or stochastic process which would fit the following problem? I have a device under test, and there is a buffer within it, of which I would like to find out the maximum and minimum fill level occupancy when…
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How can I make my figure resemple more the example?

Currently I'm learning about SDE's. In my course notes the following example was given for the following SDE: This results in the following image: \begin{array}{l} d B_{t}=\left(-K_{1} B_{t}+s_{t}+\frac{1}{2} B_{t} \sigma^{2}\right) d t-B_{t} \sigma…
Tim
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Backward and forward Kolmogorov equation for pure birth

I am dealing with a pure birth process and trying to solve the forward and backward kolmogorov equations. I am stuck solving the backward equation. $\begin{bmatrix}P'_{0,0}(t)&P'_{0,1}(t)\\P'_{1,0}(t)&P'_{1,1}(t)\end{bmatrix}= \begin{bmatrix}-…